Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.004038 0.004241 0.004448 0.004678 0.004924 0.005181 0.005470
2025-11-16 0.003668 0.003964 0.004279 0.004643 0.005052 0.005499 0.006028
2025-11-23 0.003447 0.003797 0.004181 0.004636 0.005165 0.005763 0.006498
2025-11-30 0.003243 0.003624 0.004052 0.004570 0.005188 0.005906 0.006816
2025-12-07 0.003080 0.003484 0.003946 0.004516 0.005210 0.006038 0.007114
2025-12-14 0.002966 0.003392 0.003886 0.004508 0.005281 0.006222 0.007479
2025-12-21 0.002802 0.003231 0.003735 0.004379 0.005190 0.006197 0.007569
2025-12-28 0.002726 0.003172 0.003703 0.004390 0.005273 0.006389 0.007947
2026-01-04 0.002675 0.003140 0.003700 0.004436 0.005398 0.006638 0.008410
2026-01-11 0.002593 0.003066 0.003641 0.004407 0.005421 0.006752 0.008692
2026-01-18 0.002528 0.003009 0.003601 0.004399 0.005470 0.006899 0.009024
2026-01-25 0.002455 0.002940 0.003543 0.004363 0.005478 0.006989 0.009277
2026-02-01 0.002430 0.002932 0.003562 0.004431 0.005632 0.007289 0.009859
2026-02-08 0.002364 0.002869 0.003507 0.004397 0.005643 0.007387 0.010143
2026-02-15 0.002313 0.002823 0.003474 0.004391 0.005690 0.007537 0.010515
2026-02-22 0.002244 0.002751 0.003404 0.004330 0.005656 0.007565 0.010693
2026-03-01 0.002183 0.002688 0.003343 0.004280 0.005635 0.007610 0.010899
2026-03-08 0.002141 0.002650 0.003314 0.004273 0.005675 0.007748 0.011264
2026-03-15 0.002059 0.002556 0.003208 0.004152 0.005543 0.007617 0.011172
2026-03-22 0.002029 0.002531 0.003194 0.004163 0.005607 0.007789 0.011601
2026-03-29 0.002012 0.002523 0.003202 0.004206 0.005719 0.008042 0.012185
2026-04-05 0.001971 0.002481 0.003163 0.004179 0.005723 0.008122 0.012469
2026-04-12 0.001939 0.002450 0.003138 0.004171 0.005756 0.008249 0.012846